In this post I suggested a 43 day cycle. Perhaps a 3/4 harmonic with a potential 57 day cycle. No maps this time, just tele and sounding data. NAO and AO are around 57 ish days, and 500MB soundings from a northern location like International Falls, MN is around 44 ish days. Still hanging out at what I thought back in middle August, sorta. Note that the NAO/AO data is through 8/31 and the sounding data is through 9/21.
NAO/AO
500MB
AND then there is this.
"It's all a process. It's one thing to see patterns. It's another to apply another set of learning to determine impact." - Scott Metsker
Indeed. We have to give credit to SM for that quote. What can I learn from last year? Take the two maps below for an example. Let me remind myself, in mid September, while some/most of the patterns may have been established the cycle length had not.
(Sep-13-2012)
98 days later.
(Dec-20-2012)
I remember Dec-20 in the Midwest!
So I offer this GFS projection (Sep-29-2013).
I wish I were confident on a cycle length. LOL.
If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the LRC or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!
