The OSNW3|WxClimate Correlation Wave Fundamental Frequency, Harmony, and Phase Change

For a while now I have been connecting the weather pattern recurrence correlation to a standing wave formation. In the heatmaps and charts below I can see fundamental frequency, harmony, and phase change. The transient behavior of the frequency wavelengths is also evident when using them to project the weather pattern as shown by a recent timeline of forecast output.

Hey @dlhmnwx30, what defines an Indian Summer? Is one on the way? pic.twitter.com/wK554PaaXX

— Josh Herman (@OSNW3) October 15, 2015

My focus is the MW/S/SE in the 16-20 day. ULL progression per #BSR and BN temp anomalies per #RRWT. #weather pic.twitter.com/WQiP13bWVS

— Josh Herman (@OSNW3) October 20, 2015

Aww, jeez. Model has gone all in with low 30s frequency. I can't get upset though, R is > 0.57 for all modes. #RRWT pic.twitter.com/GagaWr32VD

— Josh Herman (@OSNW3) October 21, 2015

If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Click on the images for a larger view. Thanks for reading!

A Quick Ramble. An Example of Pattern Correlation.

What do I mean when I mention pattern correlation? The chart below shows the H5 for Oakland, CA and the linear connection of two cycles. Top frequencies in the region have hovered in the mid 50s for nearly a month. Oct-12 top frequency for Oakland, CA was 54 days, the correlation result was 0.63.



The H5 values are not supposed to match, but instead parallel each other. If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Click on the images for a larger view. Thanks for reading!

A Modeled H5 Sub 520 in the Bering Sea at Forecast Hour 144

I am anxious to see what the RRWT model comes up with. The time frame will be coming into focus with the 21-25 day very soon.

ECMWF 500mb 144


Recurring Rossby Wave Train Frequency


~37 Days Ago


~54 Days Ago


Either way, this BSR moment caught my eye. Did a touch of quick research and this is what I came up with. Sniff it out, deets come later.



If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Click on the images for a larger view. Thanks for reading!