If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the pattern or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!
Jul 4, 2013
Summer Pattern Trend
Medium range GFS may have the right idea. Pattern trend looks good as of now. Below image is GFS 500 forecast for July 11 accompanied with the OSNW3 Madison MaxT and Pcpn trend.
If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the pattern or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!
If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the pattern or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!
May 31, 2013
Archived Forecast - June - WIWX
Having a little fun with the cats over at Wisconsin Weather. I tossed together a June forecast for the Facebook Group page.
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Originally posted on the Wisconsin Weather Facebook page.
Utilizing intraseasonal oscillations and a cycling weather pattern called Lezak's Recurring Cycle we attempt to project weather conditions weeks and months into the future. Currently the data used to generate the forecast are based on a full blend of cycles. The outlook for June, based on our current interpretation of the cycle, is listed below. (http://tiny.cc/isowiwx)
•Precipitation will vary from NW to SE. NW below, SE above.
--> An inactive period works in mid month.
•Temps to begin cool, but steadily warm thru the third week.
--> A cool down lasting a couple days to begin the final week.
•Notable storm systems to affect the region;
Around the 7th.
Around the 21st.
Around the 30th.
•We are in progress of creating a three member ensemble that will enhance future long range forecasts. The bottom graph of this image is the high temperature and precipitation chance trend for Oshkosh between June 18 and August 9. More detail can be found by following the link. (http://tiny.cc/koshens - remember to give or take a day, or two)
Stick with Wisconsin Weather forecasters Justin Poublon and Hunter Anderson for daily forecasts.
More information on LRC and ISO.
LRC - http://osnw3lrc.blogspot.com/
ISO - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/
If there are any questions or thoughts on the forecast or the presented material, please let us know by leaving a comment. Thanks for reading!
I'll be updating the ensemble forecast periodically as time rolls on. A live image is below. The snap shot is above.
----
Originally posted on the Wisconsin Weather Facebook page.
Utilizing intraseasonal oscillations and a cycling weather pattern called Lezak's Recurring Cycle we attempt to project weather conditions weeks and months into the future. Currently the data used to generate the forecast are based on a full blend of cycles. The outlook for June, based on our current interpretation of the cycle, is listed below. (http://tiny.cc/isowiwx)
•Precipitation will vary from NW to SE. NW below, SE above.
--> An inactive period works in mid month.
•Temps to begin cool, but steadily warm thru the third week.
--> A cool down lasting a couple days to begin the final week.
•Notable storm systems to affect the region;
Around the 7th.
Around the 21st.
Around the 30th.
•We are in progress of creating a three member ensemble that will enhance future long range forecasts. The bottom graph of this image is the high temperature and precipitation chance trend for Oshkosh between June 18 and August 9. More detail can be found by following the link. (http://tiny.cc/koshens - remember to give or take a day, or two)
Stick with Wisconsin Weather forecasters Justin Poublon and Hunter Anderson for daily forecasts.
More information on LRC and ISO.
LRC - http://osnw3lrc.blogspot.com/
ISO - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/
If there are any questions or thoughts on the forecast or the presented material, please let us know by leaving a comment. Thanks for reading!
I'll be updating the ensemble forecast periodically as time rolls on. A live image is below. The snap shot is above.
Apr 25, 2013
Archived Forecast - May - WIWX
Having a little fun with the cats over at Wisconsin Weather. I tossed together a May forecast for the Facebook Group page.
----
Originally posted on the Wisconsin Weather Facebook page.
Utilizing intraseasonal oscillations and a cycling weather pattern called Lezak's Recurring Cycle we attempt to project weather conditions weeks and months into the future. Currently the data used to generate the forecast are based on a full blend of cycles. We are in progress of creating a three member ensemble that will enhance future forecasts. The outlook for May, based on our current interpretation of the cycle, is listed below. (http://tiny.cc/isowiwx)
•Multiple precipitation events lead to above average totals.
•Temperature roller coaster ending slightly below average.
•Three notable storms to affect the region;
Around the 13th.
Around the 20th.
Around the 31st.
•Severe weather is probable with the notable storm systems.
Stick with Wisconsin Weather forecasters Justin Poublon and Hunter Anderson for daily forecasts.
More information on LRC and ISO.
LRC - http://osnw3lrc.blogspot.com/
ISO - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/
If there are any questions or thoughts on the forecast or the presented material, please let us know by leaving a comment. Thanks for reading!
----
Originally posted on the Wisconsin Weather Facebook page.
Utilizing intraseasonal oscillations and a cycling weather pattern called Lezak's Recurring Cycle we attempt to project weather conditions weeks and months into the future. Currently the data used to generate the forecast are based on a full blend of cycles. We are in progress of creating a three member ensemble that will enhance future forecasts. The outlook for May, based on our current interpretation of the cycle, is listed below. (http://tiny.cc/isowiwx)
•Multiple precipitation events lead to above average totals.
•Temperature roller coaster ending slightly below average.
•Three notable storms to affect the region;
Around the 13th.
Around the 20th.
Around the 31st.
•Severe weather is probable with the notable storm systems.
Stick with Wisconsin Weather forecasters Justin Poublon and Hunter Anderson for daily forecasts.
More information on LRC and ISO.
LRC - http://osnw3lrc.blogspot.com/
ISO - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/
If there are any questions or thoughts on the forecast or the presented material, please let us know by leaving a comment. Thanks for reading!
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