Nov 4, 2012

Seasonal Twists Abound?

I sense a pucker factor emerging in map correlations with the current flow of the middle atmosphere using the early derivation of the 2012-13 cycle length. All is good though, rolling into what the GFS is putting out for late week. The ULL off of the west coast is in the flow this cycle providing an eye popping difference between map comparisons...

(Sep 18-19 and GFS Nov 7-8)


This comparison is in the low 50s of cycle length that I've been following along with since mid August.

Moving forward (GFS Nov-11) this may not be something we've seen in the maps yet but is certainly apart of the 2012-13 cycle. Is it a seasonal twist in the jet just more evident due to the ability of finding the cycle earlier? Or just the simple fact that patterns in the cycle have not yet been established and we're still waiting for them to evolve as the core theory states? What do you believe?

This is a great time for critics to come out of the woods and express their discontent with compounding theories on the core theory or even better with the theory in general. No matter, it is all good fun. Patience is a virtue.

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the LRC or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!

8 comments:

  1. Consider the deep central trough of the GFS around the 11-12th to Sept 17th.

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    1. I love clues. I went a couple even farther back. How about 9/8 and GFS 11/6 - brings it easily within your 3 to 5. The pattern is able to be followed until confidence in GFS becomes very low.

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  2. Scott Remember I said the cycle is varying and especially over the past month. Look very closely and see if you can find where is at. There is a morph that happens during the final steps of the pattern setting into its final position. Now this occured back in the 3rd week of September, but we are seeing the evidence of it now.
    Doug

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    1. Doug thanks for stopping by!

      Try 9/8 and 11/6. Take it back a couple days and then move it forward 10 days in the GFS output. Odd and unexplained as another morph. Amazing that since last years cycle I've now seen 3 separate cycles. This 9/8-11/6 59 ish day cycle being the third.

      9/8 - Map
      11/6 - Map

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    2. You got it Josh, and I meant that message to you, not to Scott. I think I put Scott b/c he replied above me. But if you look very closely you can see the stretch. It is very hard to see because Sandy kinda screws with how that pattern has looked over the past few weeks. But I can show you how to find this a ways back. If you look back at the maps you can follow this back as well about a month and a half or so, well lets say clearly. But there is actually a stretch in there that happens every fall. Now this will tell us also what the ocean waters will do as well. I never know how to explain how to see this stretch except to show them day by day how it happens. That is why I have just blogged for the past two months the cycle is going to varry, lol. Hope your doing great. Love your website!
      Doug

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  3. Hey I have a question about the length of the LRC. I have been coming up with a 58-59 day cycle! is this something you are seeing? I have a map to map comparison if you would like to see. You can email me @ Nroberson21@yahoo.com! - Nic

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    1. Nic, I would agree. Just the other day I started seeing the 59 ish day cycle. I listed a date comparison in the reply comment to Doug above.

      9/8 and 11/6

      I'll shoot you an email, I am interested in your map comparison. Thanks for stopping by and leaving a comment.

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  4. Awesome thank you Josh, I sent you an email with the map comparison.

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