My Interpretation of the Recent Patterns - What is Your Take?

Oct 25, 2012

Feb 10, 2013 - 108 ish days from above date (54 average)

The map below, of the specific pattern in the cycle between the cycles mentioned above, may be the odd ball out. Perhaps an interference behavior of a wave? Some science.

Dec 17, 2012 - 53 ish days from Oct 25, 55 ish days from Feb 10.

Below is a graph of the 500mb numbers for a five day stretch encompassing this comparison of each cycle. The blue and green match up pretty well while the red is slightly different.

----

A step further, another map to map. The "cancer", as it has been mentioned, to following the cycle. Was this feature introduced back in the December cycle? No real glimpse of it back in October. Node or antinode?

Dec 19, 2012 - See Calendar

Feb 12, 2013 - 55 ish days from Dec 19.

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the cycle or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!

Quick Cycle Duration Check

Could we be seeing a cycle 'extension' like Gilbertfly mentioned in the AccuWx Forum LRC Thread early on due to a late winter southern reach of snow pack? See Calendar as I have it 'marked'. What do you all think? Off my rocker? This is the time frame where 53 days was consistent last cycle. We shall see!

Oct 23, 2012


Dec 15, 2012 - 53 ish days from above date


Feb 7, 2013 - 54 ish days from above date


If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the theory or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!

Midwest Snowfall - January Forecast Results Are In

Actual surface data is obtained from the Southern Region Headquarters of the National Weather Service.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/product_sites.php?pil=CF6&max=61

A handful of stations do not provide complete data from the website above and I am forced to find it manually via other sources. These statons are listed below with their data source.

Oshkosh, WI; WI-WN-4 CoCoRaHS
Ann Arbor, MI; MI-WS-11 CoCoRaHS
Houghton, MI; MI-HG-1 CoCoRaHS
Escanaba, MI; NWS Station GLADSTONE NO 2
Traverse City, MI; NWS station TRAVERSE CITY MUNSON
Champaign, IL; IL-CP-47 CoCoRaHS

January Forecast "Snowfall" results
9 out of the 40 cities finished within +/- 30% of forecast total.

January Forecast "Days With Measurable Snowfall" results
28 out of the 40 cities finished within +/- 2 days of forecast total.

For more information visit the OSNW3|WxClimate Maps webpage.

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the theory or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!