A Short Discussion - Second Half of April Temperature Trend

The below tweet prompted a response from @Blizzardof96 on the AccuWx Forums. Always an insightful read from him.

A regional #midwest warm-up will come - http://t.co/ZbmCC8aJmU #organicforecasting #BSR @TriStatesWx @theblockking pic.twitter.com/LfhjcT7z4e

— Josh Herman (@OSNW3) March 30, 2014

His response mused me into responding. My response is below.

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In regard with the long-term ISO, late April should be watched for another cold intrusion. However, with the jet transitioning northward, I am not against departures coming in less dramatic. Take a similar jet position, in a similar transition (to winter, instead of summer), the first half of November the midwest was riddled with short lived ridges.











It is the short-term ISO that will pick up on this soon, shall the Rossby recur in such a way.

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If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thanks for reading!