LRC'ers using a different cycle duration? How can this be?

GL sees 41.



DH sees 62.

@OSNW3 Hey Josh, You can plot all day long. You can't beat my eye. We are 100% 62 days no doubt. The cycle started July 31st.

— Doug Heady (@DougHeady) December 10, 2014

JN sees 60-63.



I think the LRC/HP was a good starting point a handful of years ago. It helped me realize that things were cycling. Kinda like learning how to dribble a basketball and run at the same time. "Seeing" the "cycle/pattern" just isn't in my vocabulary anymore. I have done my share of research/experimenting based on the core principles of the LRC/HP. I need to keep moving forward.

GL sees 41. DH sees 62. JN sees 60-63. Personally I think it's great. Are they in harmony? Below is a chart showing correlations for each duration mentioned above.

CONUS Correlations


Some Regions are noisy. Coastal usually. Continental a different story. Region 3 is locked in. Closer to the recurring long-term longwave perhaps? (analysis)

Region 3 Correlations


Originally posted on the AccuWx ISO/Rossby/BSR/TR 2014-2015 forum. If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thanks for reading!

Current Harmonic State ~Mid 40s

Current forecast pattern compared to the dominant harmonic pattern from ~mid 40 days ago (analysis). Originally posted on the AccuWx ISO/Rossby/BSR/TR 2014-2015 forum.





If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thanks for reading!

BSR Case Study and a RR Correlation Timelapse

Upcoming Bering Sea Rule verification case study. The first one is a lock, the second not so much. We shall see.



The mid-latitude Rossby wave train long-term correlation over the CONUS is making the way back to positive.



If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thanks for reading!