Actively Seeking A Cycle Length

On Nov-4 I posted about a seasonal twist. The outcome of the so-called twist led me down a path of a new and extended cycle duration leaving an unanswered question as to why. I passed on the attempt to answer the question. Instead I followed this new cycle duration for another 10 ish days until the patterns yet again switched on me. Or did they? The cycle duration flux is documented in the comments of the linked entry above. To make a long story short, time has pushed forth and the map comparison below is where I am at in the cycle as of this posting. I will call it "55-ish" days.

(Sep-29)


(Nov-25 | 18Z GFS Nov-16)


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For the past year I've been working on a way to utilize the knowledge of cycling weather patterns. While I know there will be better ways to present the massive amounts of data in future renditions, with potential future partners, I decided I needed to pull the trigger with what I had built to see how it would perform in a real time environment. The host website will likely always be "under construction" but under most circumstances will always be in production. I invite everyone reading to gander at what I think our cycling weather patterns have to offer for weather and climate forecasting.



Click on the screen shot to navigate to the trends. I welcome all feedback on the site, the data, the 'model' output... anything, as it will help me improve/disregard the product in the future.

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the LRC or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!

Seasonal Twists Abound?

I sense a pucker factor emerging in map correlations with the current flow of the middle atmosphere using the early derivation of the 2012-13 cycle length. All is good though, rolling into what the GFS is putting out for late week. The ULL off of the west coast is in the flow this cycle providing an eye popping difference between map comparisons...

(Sep 18-19 and GFS Nov 7-8)


This comparison is in the low 50s of cycle length that I've been following along with since mid August.

Moving forward (GFS Nov-11) this may not be something we've seen in the maps yet but is certainly apart of the 2012-13 cycle. Is it a seasonal twist in the jet just more evident due to the ability of finding the cycle earlier? Or just the simple fact that patterns in the cycle have not yet been established and we're still waiting for them to evolve as the core theory states? What do you believe?

This is a great time for critics to come out of the woods and express their discontent with compounding theories on the core theory or even better with the theory in general. No matter, it is all good fun. Patience is a virtue.

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the LRC or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!